Tuesday, September 30, 2008
Ah, now I understand
Was he really that stupid?
Trust – we don’t have it
Why is there so little popular support for bailout legislation?
Shortly before Congress was due to recess, the Bush administration sent Treasury Secretary Paulson and Fed chairman Bernanke to Capitol Hill with the message that the economic situation was so dire that the Treasury Department required immediate access to $700 billion to bail out the financial services industry in order to avert catastrophe. The demand to Congress for legislation included language that, in typical Bush administration fashion, prohibited accountability – "Decisions by the Secretary pursuant to the authority of this Act are non-reviewable and committed to agency discretion, and may not be reviewed by any court of law or any administrative agency." Congress was instructed to immediately pass this legislation.
It has never been made clear to the American people that a huge bailout is the best possible course of action. Nor has it been made clear what the consequences of a meltdown of the economy will be. There have been vague allusions to the Great Depression, but most of us were not alive during that time, and many have no idea what it was, other than being a Bad Thing.
Most perceive the bailout as rescuing the fat cats of the limousine class from the consequences of their own greed and recklessness, and most of us are loath to do so. The demand for this bill was presented – with lots of pressure for speed and out of the clear blue sky – from an administration that only the week before had been touting the underlying strength of the economy. The perception, then, was that this was just the latest hustle from an administration that had pulled this trick before – the run-up to the invasion of Iraq was in everybody’s mind. The cost of mendacity is mistrust, and it looked like the Bushies crying wolf again.
There is now widespread distrust of the Bush administration and its motives and actions. Congress, too, which abdicated its oversight role and allowed the Bush administration to deregulate the financial services industry without let or hindrance, is not viewed with favor. In fact, the finance sector (among many others) has contributed very generously indeed to members of Congress. The influence of lobbyists on legislators is incalculable, and very few believe corporate interests have not heavily influenced this bill.
The institutions that normally are seen as bulwarks are no longer trusted. In fact, the only common ground that liberal and conservative voters have at this point is a deep distrust of government, Wall Street, and industry. The repercussions of this lack of trust are just now beginning to be felt, and they will not vanish when the administration changes – lack of faith in our institutions has become a way of life for us. Selling a distrustful and resentful populace on any remedy is going to be very, very difficult.
Monday, September 29, 2008
On the bailout
It is impossible to predict the ultimate cost to the Treasury of the bailout and the other commitments that financial authorities have made -- this will depend primarily on the economy as well as the quality of execution and oversight. But it is very unlikely to approach $700 billion and will be spread over a number of years.
Second, the usual concern about budget deficits is that the need for government bonds to be held by investors will crowd out other, more productive, investments or force greater dependence on foreign suppliers of capital. To the extent that the government purchases assets such as mortgage-backed securities with increased issuance of government debt, there is no such effect.
Third, since Keynes we have recognized that it is appropriate to allow government deficits to rise as the economy turns down if there is also a commitment to reduce deficits in good times. After using the economic expansion of the 1990s to bring down government indebtedness, the United States made a serious error in allowing deficits to rise over the past eight years. But it would compound this error to override what economists call "automatic stabilizers" by seeking to reduce deficits in the near term.
Indeed, in the current circumstances the case for fiscal stimulus -- policy actions that increase short-term deficits -- is stronger than ever before in my professional lifetime. Unemployment is almost certain to increase -- probably to the highest levels in a generation. Monetary policy has little scope to stimulate the economy given how low interest rates already are and the problems in the financial system. Global experience with economic downturns caused by financial distress suggests that while they are of uncertain depth, they are almost always of long duration.
The economic point here can be made straightforwardly: The more people who are unemployed, the more desirable it is that government takes steps to put them back to work by investing in infrastructure or energy or simply by providing tax cuts that allow families to avoid cutting back on their spending.
Fourth, it must be emphasized that nothing in the short-run case for fiscal stimulus vitiates the argument that action is necessary to ensure the United States is financially viable in the long run. We still must address issues of entitlements and fiscal sustainability.
McCain's lost chance
Sunday, September 28, 2008
Not ready for primetime
The Gambler
A lifelong gambler, Mr. McCain takes risks, both on and off the craps table. He was throwing dice that night not long after his failed 2000 presidential bid, in which he was skewered by the Republican Party’s evangelical base, opponents of gambling. Mr. McCain was betting at a casino he oversaw as a member of the Senate Indian Affairs Committee, and he was doing so with the lobbyist who represents that casino, according to three associates of Mr. McCain.
The visit had been arranged by the lobbyist, Scott Reed, who works for the Mashantucket Pequot, a tribe that has contributed heavily to Mr. McCain’s campaigns and built Foxwoods into the world’s second-largest casino. Joining them was Rick Davis, Mr. McCain’s current campaign manager. Their night of good fortune epitomized not just Mr. McCain’s affection for gambling, but also the close relationship he has built with the gambling industry and its lobbyists during his 25-year career in Congress.
Saturday, September 27, 2008
An interesting analysis
The Debate
McCain morphs into McCan't
Friday, September 26, 2008
Blatantly stealing again
Will she be gone by Tuesday?
What do McCain and the GOP think they're doing?
Thursday, September 25, 2008
Donate to Planned Parenthood in Sarah Palin's Name
Bailout could make things worse
"It's not based on any particular data point," a Treasury spokeswoman told Forbes.com Tuesday. "We just wanted to choose a really large number."
Gamble won't pay off
I see it as an admission that he can only do one thing at a time. The job he's running for requires that he be able to to handle conflicting demands on his time, so as far as I'm concerned, this action is an admission that he is unqualified for the competing complex tasks facing the next President of the United States. He just flunked the audition.
Also it's a stunt born of desperation. You can see the flop sweat all over this one.
Wednesday, September 24, 2008
The American Presidential Candidate
At the end of the 1995 Movie, The American President, the president, played by Michael Douglas, takes a question at a press conference, and his answer morphs into a speech that is quite relevant to the current situation.
Reporter: Robyn, will the President ever respond to Senator Rumson's question about being a member of the American Civil Liberties Union?
President Shepherd: Yes, he will. Good morning. It's alright. Please keep your seats. Good morning.
For the last couple of months, Senator Rumson has suggested that being President of this country was, to a certain extent, about character. And although I've not been willing to engage in his attacks on me, I have been here three years and three days, and I can tell you without hesitation: Being President of this country is entirely about character.
For the record, yes, I am a card-carrying member of the ACLU, but the more important question is "Why aren't you, Bob?" Now this is an organization whose sole purpose is to defend the Bill of Rights, so it naturally begs the question, why would a senator, his party's most powerful spokesman and a candidate for President, choose to reject upholding the constitution? Now if you can answer that question, folks, then you're smarter than I am, because I didn't understand it until a few hours ago.
America isn't easy. America is advanced citizenship. You've gotta want it bad, 'cause it's gonna put up a fight. It's gonna say, "You want free speech? Let's see you acknowledge a man whose words make your blood boil, who's standing center stage and advocating at the top of his lungs that which you would spend a lifetime opposing at the top of yours." You want to claim this land as the land of the free? Then the symbol of your country cannot just be a flag. The symbol also has to be one of its citizens exercising his right to burn that flag in protest. Now show me that, defend that, celebrate that in your classrooms.
Then you can stand up and sing about the land of the free.
I've known Bob Rumson for years. And I've been operating under the assumption that the reason Bob devotes so much time and energy to shouting at the rain was that he simply didn't get it. Well, I was wrong. Bob's problem isn't that he doesn't get it. Bob's problem is that he can't sell it!
We have serious problems to solve, and we need serious people to solve them. And whatever your particular problem is, I promise you Bob Rumson is not the least bit interested in solving it. He is interested in two things, and two things only: making you afraid of it, and telling you who's to blame for it. That, ladies and gentlemen, is how you win elections. You gather a group of middle age, middle class, middle income voters who remember with longing an easier time, and you talk to them about family, and American values and character, and you wave an old photo of the President's girlfriend and you scream about patriotism. You tell them she's to blame for their lot in life. And you go on television and you call her a whore
Of course, Barack Obama is running for president, and the diversion isn’t his girlfriend, it’s his minister. Or his race. Or he's got a funny name. Or the fact that he wasn’t born on the mainland of the United States. Or the fact that he spent part of his childhood in a foreign country. Whatever. But the tactics remain the same. Change Bob Rumson to John McCain and read it again.
Just once, I would like to hear a Democrat give an impassioned speech like that.
I wish I'd seen this before
"Does anyone think it’s just a little weird to be stampeded into a $700 billion solution to the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression by the very people who brought us the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression?"
Obama, Capitol Hill Leaders Speak as One on Crisis
Bipartisan Outrage? Maybe
Obama has clear lead
Rick Davis lied
Scares me when I agree with George Will two days in a row
Tuesday, September 23, 2008
Sen. Sanders hits the nail on the head.d
We must end the danger posed by companies that are “too big too fail,” that is, companies whose failure would cause systemic harm to the U.S. economy. If a company is too big to fail, it is too big to exist.
Think about it.
Liar, liar
Palin vs. McCain on global warming
"...in selecting Palin and deciding to place her in charge of energy affairs should they win the White House, he has a running mate who has resisted this key tenet of his candidacy."
McCain has lost whatever bearings he ever had
Monday, September 22, 2008
Here's a reason...
It's a start, but not much of one
Congressional Democrats considering the Bush administration's emergency plan to shore up the U.S. financial system countered with their own demands yesterday, presenting draft legislation giving the government power to cut salaries of chief executives at firms that participate in the bailout and slash severance packages for their top management.
Democratic leaders have broadly embraced the administration's proposal to spend up to $700 billion to take troubled assets off the books of faltering firms and are not questioning the need to give the Treasury Department expansive authority to halt the meltdown in world markets. But by attempting to limit executive pay, they risk alienating key Republicans who object to such restrictions and delaying passage of the rescue plan, which in turn may stir renewed fear in the markets.The Congressional Democrats are a craven bunch.
Sunday, September 21, 2008
Oh, dear
Disaster in the making
She's not ready
Saturday, September 20, 2008
Palin perjured herself? Say it ain't so
An internal government document obtained by ABC News appears to contradict Sarah Palin's most recent explanation for why she fired her public safety chief, the move which prompted the now-contested state probe into "Troopergate."
Fighting back against allegations she may have fired her then-Public Safety Commissioner, Walt Monegan, for refusing to go along with a personal vendetta, Palin on Monday argued in a legal filing that she fired Monegan because he had a "rogue mentality" and was bucking her administration's directives.
So Sarah is saying she's pro-domestic violence? Poor Todd."The last straw," her lawyer argued, came when he planned a trip to Washington, D.C., to seek federal funds for an aggressive anti-sexual-violence program. The project, expected to cost from $10 million to $20 million a year for five years, would have been the first of its kind in Alaska, which leads the nation in reported forcible rape.
The McCain-Palin campaign echoed the charge in a press release it distributed Monday, concurrent with Palin's legal filing. "Mr. Monegan persisted in planning to make the unauthorized lobbying trip to D.C.," the release stated.
But the governor's staff authorized the trip, according to an internal travel document from the Department of Public Safety, released Friday in response to an open records request.
Couldn't happen to a nicer fella
Via Crooks & LiarsIn an interview filmed the afternoon of Sept. 3 and posted on the Web site LinkTV.org, Schwartz was candid about how he envisioned change under a McCain presidency.
"Less taxes and more war," he said, smiling. He said the U.S. should "bomb the hell" out of Iran because the country threatens Israel.
Asked by the interviewer how America would pay for a military confrontation with Iran, he said the U.S. should take the country's resources.
"We should plant a flag. Take the oil, take the money," he said. "We deserve reimbursement."
Sometimes you can only shake your head
OK, a correspondent directs me to John McCain’s article, Better Health Care at Lower Cost for Every American, in the Sept./Oct. issue ofContingencies, the magazine of the American Academy of Actuaries. You might want to be seated before reading this.
Here’s what McCain has to say about the wonders of market-based health reform:
Opening up the health insurance market to more vigorous nationwide competition, as we have done over the last decade in banking, would provide more choices of innovative products less burdened by the worst excesses of state-based regulation.
So McCain, who now poses as the scourge of Wall Street, was praising financial deregulation like 10 seconds ago — and promising that if we marketize health care, it will perform as well as the financial industry!